Carter, Trump

The Coming Chaos Presidency …

It is no coincidence that while news coverage over the last week or so has been focused on the fourth anniversary of the Donald Trump-inspired riot at the U.S. Capitol and the funeral of former president Jimmy Carter that the next president conducted a rambling, shambling news conference where he said he wouldn’t rule out attacking a NATO ally and trolled the country with which we share the longest undefended border in the world.

Trump lives for chaos and distraction. He must be, as Alice Roosevelt Longworth said of her father Teddy, “the bride at every wedding and the corpse at every funeral.” T.R. had a big ego, but also a big brain. He read and wrote books and knew science. Trump knows chaos.

It was completely predictable that his fragile self-image could not tolerate extended days of laudatory coverage of Carter, an American president with more decency and character than the entirety of the incoming administration. Trump had to redirect attention to himself, even if the attention is mostly in the nature of slapping your forehead and muttering, “he said what?”

Donald Trump: very much the “odd” man out at Jimmy Carter’s funeral

We’ve seen this show before. The soon-to-be president is a master at dominating the national mind-set. He loves it, as do many of his supporters who think it’s great fun to spin up Canadian, Danish, French and German politicians who are forced to respond to his senseless rants.

Rename the Gulf of Mexico? Why not. Pardon the lawbreaking thugs who took over the Capital at his prompting? Sure. Send the Marines – again – to Panama to reclaim “our” canal? We stole it fair and square, so why not? Make Canada the 51st state? Why not alienate an old ally, our second largest trading partner, that supplies huge quantities of crude oil; cars and car parts; and machinery such as turbines, engines and construction equipment parts. Not to mention the great Canadian maple syrup you can get at Costco.

“We have been so concerned about all the scary things that Trump’s going to do, we forgot he’s also going to do some really stupid things,” said Desi Lydic, a host of the Daily Show.

It has been suggested that Americans should take Trump “seriously but not literally.” Be wise and take him both seriously and literally. He is a psychopath literally capable of anything over the next four years, or whenever he decides to leave office, and most of what he suggests and does will be profoundly stupid and often disastrous.

The only thing more predictable than Trump sending his first born to Greenland to scope out hotel locations is that not a single Vichy Republican, the spineless, gutless, cowering sycophants that have time and again enabled this flawed, ignorant man would raise as much as a limp social media post against his chaos.

They’re frankly too busy trooping to Mar a Lago to kiss his ring … or something, and by week’s end some were saying the Greenland gambit was a totally fine idea.

You can’t help but wonder when the buyer’s remorse will set in. Maybe when he has to actually manage a natural disaster or a foreign crisis. Perhaps when the debt ceiling needs to increase to prevent a government default. Perhaps when bird flu or another public health crisis produces a new “disinfectant” crisis, a signature moment of the first Trump presidency.

Just to remind you: On April 23, 2020, while standing in the White House briefing room for the daily Trump follies during Covid, the then-president rambled at some length about the magic powers of sunlight before going totally off his rocker.

“And then I see the disinfectant, where it knocks it out in a minute. One minute. And is there a way we can do something like that, by injection inside or almost a cleaning. Because you see it gets in the lungs, and it does a tremendous number on the lungs. So it would be interesting to check that.”

Bleach manufacturers had to issue warnings. Who knew that many Trump supporters were, well, that gullible?

“It honestly hurt. It was a credibility issue,” said one White House official at the time. “It was hurting us even from an international standpoint, the credibility at the White House.”

Credibility? International credibility? Not with this guy.

Imagine John Kennedy during the tensest days of the Cuban Missile Crisis going on live television to say no, he couldn’t rule out lobbing an ICBM into the men’s room at the Kremlin? (Actually, Barry Goldwater did say something similar, but poor Barry was seen in his day, even by many Republicans, as more than a little dangerous, and Goldwater never got anywhere near the nuclear codes.)

The chaos, the incompetence are the point with Trump, along with clinging to power no matter what.

In true Orwellian fashion Trump largely succeeded this week in rabbit holing January 6. The avalanche of pure, unprocessed bull about the very worst of his behavior in the first term is taking hold. The coming pardons will further serve to erase this dastardly, ugly Trump stain.

“Trump has an audacious goal,” writes Michael Waldman of the Brennan Center for Justice, “to reinterpret one of the most public crimes in history, to wrap it in the gauze of patriotism.” He’s asking us to brainwash ourselves, and many of the gullible seem willing to embrace his utter nonsense.

The clear, cold fact for Trump supporters and the rest of us is simple. He’s back for only two reasons: to stay out of jail and to grift over everything from Bibles to golden sneakers. The Greenland threat, the Panama Canal, the mocking of Canada are all about distracting from the real and profound harm he will do.

The grift goes round and round …

Reflect on this: There is no greater contrast in American history than Carter’s exit and Trump’s return. As Pete Buttigieg says of Carter, “He’s this figure who is so respected for a sense of decency – humility, really – from all sides … So the contrast was, of course, not lost on me, as we were thinking about what coming next in Washington.”

Which is to say we ain’t seen nothing, yet.

Figure out how you are going to respond.

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Additional Reading:

A couple of other items of interest …

“You Should Run for President”: Jimmy Carter’s Ad Man Speaks

Gerald Rafshoon helped take Carter from the peanut farm to the White House. Here, he exclusively recalls some of the key moments of a decades-long relationship.

Good inside baseball on Carter’s 1976 campaign for the White House.


George Norris still has lessons for today’s leaders

Who the heck was George Norris you may be thinking. Good question: one of the great legislators in American history.

Norris of Nebraska, one of the greatest senators ever

“Norris is perhaps best known for his role in creating the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) and the Rural Electrification Administration (REA). These initiatives lifted poor and rural Americans from a near-medieval existence, ushering them into an electrified era that transformed their lives, work, and incomes. Norris took on powerful private utility interests to make these landmark achievements a reality.”

There is much more to the Norris story, including creating the unicameral legislature in Nebraska.

Good column on why Norris must not be forgotten.


Climate ‘whiplash’ linked to raging LA fires

The disastrous fires in southern California may just be the beginning.

“Researchers believe that a warming world is increasing the conditions that are conducive to wildland fire, including low relative humidity.

“These ‘fire weather’ days are increasing in many parts of the world, with climate change making these conditions more severe and the fire season lasting longer in many parts of the world, scientists have shown.”

Read the full story.


Thanks for reading. See you again soon.

Andrus, Carter, Conservation, Democracy

Jimmy Carter Forecast Our Future …

The presidential historian Robert Dallek, author of books on Franklin Roosevelt, John Kennedy and Lyndon Johnson, among others, contends that it takes decades after any president leaves office to begin to assess their historical importance.

With his death on December 29 at age 100, and with Jimmy Carter having been out of office for more than 40 years, his White House tenure is ripe for reassessment, and we’ve seen plenty of that this week.

Carter’s is a complicated legacy, and making his presidential assessment even more difficult is the near universal acknowledgment that Carter was the best “former president” ever.

Two recent biographies by Jonathan Alter and Kai Bird reassess Carter as a much underappreciated president. Bird’s assessment that Carter’s “presidency was ahead of his times” is persuasive given his emphasis on human rights as a cornerstone of American foreign policy, his environmental leadership – he placed solar panels on the White House roof which Ronald Reagan later removed – and his dedication to an anti-imperial presidency.

Yet, much like Joe Biden, Carter stumbled badly in understanding the power of inflation to inflame voter resentment, and Carter’s prickly tendency to present himself as the smartest guy in every room turned off many, including fellow Democrats.

Like all presidents, perhaps save the one about to return to the White House, Jimmy Carter was a complicated guy, a rock and roll fan who taught Sunday school for 40 years, a devoted husband who admitted to lust in his heart, a nuclear submariner who spoke constantly of peace.

Yet, who among us is without contradictions, so I come to praise the late president as perhaps the most genuinely decent man to ever hold the job and one who was right on many big issues.

Most of the Carter obituaries, maybe not surprisingly, have omitted Carter’s role (and that of his Interior Secretary Cecil Andrus) in pulling off what is arguably the greatest single piece of conservation legislation ever – the Alaska National Interest Lands Conservation Act.

The unsurprising part of the Alaska omission reflects the reality that all national politics are Washington-centric. Being a great conservation president who mastered the details of legitimate Native American claims to The Last Frontier and measured them against what Andrus called “the rape, ruin and run crowd” was lost on most political obit writers.

Still, that law, signed by Carter on December 2, 1980, nearly a month after he lost the presidency to Ronald Reagan, more than doubled the size of the national park system, while creating wildlife refuges, national monuments and preserves. It was a truly historic achievement ranking Carter with Teddy Roosevelt as a visionary in protecting American land for generations far into the future.

The New York Times printed the Alaska story on page A20.

What the obits have not omitted is the so called “malaise speech,” a televised address Carter delivered from the Oval Office on July 15, 1979. Carter titled the speech “A Crisis of Confidence,” and the word malaise was never used.

Nonetheless, the speech has taken on outsized influence as a kind of shorthand for Carter’s “weakness” as a president or, for some, televised evidence of his off putting preachiness. Carter biographer Jonathan Alter saw the speech differently, and I agree, as “the most curious, confessional, and intensely moral television address ever delivered by an American president.”

Knowing that many writing now about Carter’s legacy simply don’t have memories of his presidential period, or even more likely have accepted the conventional wisdom that the speech is evidence of some huge political miscalculation, I decided to go back this week and re-read that speech.

Viewed through the lens of the pending return of Donald Trump to the presidency – Carter called Trump a “disaster” during his first term – the 1979 speech was both a warning and a plea.

While the speech from a policy standpoint was about energy it was really about values and responsibility. Carter spoke of a “crisis of confidence,” and called for individual citizens to rededicate themselves to the nation’s enduring ideals.

“The erosion of our confidence in the future is threatening to destroy the social and the political fabric of America,” Carter said. Remember that was 45 years ago.

“The confidence that we have always had as a people is not simply some romantic dream or a proverb in a dusty book that we read just on the Fourth of July.

“It is the idea which founded our nation and has guided our development as a people. Confidence in the future has supported everything else – public institutions and private enterprise, our own families, and the very Constitution of the United States. Confidence has defined our course and has served as a link between generations. We’ve always believed in something called progress. We’ve always had a faith that the days of our children would be better than our own.”

And then this:

“We always believed that we were part of a great movement of humanity itself called democracy, involved in the search for freedom, and that belief has always strengthened us in our purpose. But just as we are losing our confidence in the future, we are also beginning to close the door on our past.

“In a nation that was proud of hard work, strong families, close-knit communities, and our faith in God, too many of us now tend to worship self-indulgence and consumption. Human identity is no longer defined by what one does, but by what one owns. But we’ve discovered that owning things and consuming things does not satisfy our longing for meaning. We’ve learned that piling up material goods cannot fill the emptiness of lives which have no confidence or purpose.”

Those were not the words of a weak president, but a moral one, and given where we sit today a prophetic one.

Carter delivers “The Crisis of Confidence” speech in 1979

“As you know, there is a growing disrespect for government and for churches and for schools, the news media, and other institutions. This is not a message of happiness or reassurance, but it is the truth and it is a warning.”

In the best tradition of political leadership, Carter called for individual Americans to buck up, take more responsibility, and believe in themselves and the country.

“First of all, we must face the truth, and then we can change our course. We simply must have faith in each other, faith in our ability to govern ourselves, and faith in the future of this nation. Restoring that faith and that confidence to America is now the most important task we face. It is a true challenge of this generation of Americans.”

Given that Americans have again chosen Trump, a profoundly flawed man who has done more than anyone in our lifetimes to denigrate American institutions, while basing his fundamental appeal on division and the worst instincts of his supporters, Carter’s plea in 1979 could well be made today. It remains profoundly relevant.

“All the traditions of our past, all the lessons of our heritage, all the promises of our future point to another path, the path of common purpose and the restoration of American values. That path leads to true freedom for our nation and ourselves.”

By the time Carter gave his most famous speech his approval ratings were in the dumpster, inflation was running high and political change was in the air. The man who made Carter a one-term president, Ronald Reagan, dismissed the speech saying he didn’t see anything wrong with America or Americans. And that explains a lot about The Gipper and his nearly infallible sense of what a politically advantageous position looked and sounded like.

Reagan would later declare it “morning in America,” a country that was a shining city on a hill, but which man, given where we find ourselves, had a better grasp on the “real America?”

One column following Carter’s 1979 speech

Carter, as close to a 20th Renaissance Man as has ever occupied the White House, was really calling, Lincoln-like, for our better angels to assert themselves. That they did not was, at least not entirely, his fault – “The fault dear Brutus,” as Shakespeare wrote, “is not in our stars but in ourselves.”

Carter understood, certainly understood better than most who found his presidency wanting, that all great nations, as Arthur Schlesinger, Jr. would later write in The Cycles of American History, undergo “patterns of alternation, of ebb and flow, in human history.”

We are in the midst of one of Schlesinger’s cycles right now – an ebbing of faith in democracy – a cycle of immense division where character and competence in public officials counts less than their ability to keep us riled up, anxious about our place, and hating someone or something. The rightwing denigration of democratic institutions, the utter disdain for “elitist” expertise, is now the defining characteristic of our time. The threat this presents to the country is surely in keeping with the central warning of Jimmy Carter’s much maligned speech.

If Carter’s message of the need for unity and sacrifice and coming together was too much for Americans to absorb in 1979 it could just be that the timing of his departure was close to perfect. We’re reflecting on Carter’s good and productive life, and his lifelong striving to do good, while waiting – again – for a man with vastly different inclinations.

Carter’s life – and his “malaise speech” – remind us what’s at stake when we trust our government, and indeed our future, to genuinely unserious, hateful and petty people.

The next months will tell us just how unserious we have become. Jimmy Carter, one might say, saw it all coming a long time ago.

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One more thing …

E. Jean Carroll: Affirmed!

Jimmy Carter, the Sunday school teaching evangelical who made it a personal cause late in his life to build homes for needy Americans and battle against deadly tropical diseases affecting some of the world’s poorest people, died within hours of a U.S. Appeals Court affirming the guilty verdict of the incoming president.

As the Second Circuit Court of Appeals wrote, “after a nine-day trial, a jury found that plaintiff-appellee E. Jean Carroll was sexually abused by defendant-appellant Donald J. Trump at the Bergdorf Goodman department store in Manhattan in 1996. The jury also found that Mr. Trump defamed her in statements he made in 2022. The jury awarded Ms. Carroll a total of $5 million in compensatory and punitive damages.”

If you care to you can read an excellent summary of the ruling regarding the once and future president by former federal prosecutor Joyce Vance.

Or, in the alternative, you can just marvel that this is happening in the United States of America.

Happy New Year. And all the best.